Martingale rulɛti fɛɛrɛ
Martingale rulɛti fɛɛrɛ bɛ pari bonya siɲɛ fila bɔnɛ kelen o kelen kɔfɛ ka segin pari jusigi ma sɔrɔ kɔfɛ. Sɔrɔ kelen o kelen bɛ bɔnɛ tɛmɛnenw bɛɛ segin ani inite jusigi kelen fara a kan. Ɲɛ in b'a jira o bɛ min kɛ tulon wari la, ani mun na a tɛ se ka bɔnɛ makɔnɔnen yɛlɛma.
Martingale rulɛti fɛɛrɛ bɛ baara kɛ cogo di?
Ni i tununna, a bonya siɲɛ fila. Ni i sɔrɔla, segin pari jusigi ma. Fɛɛrɛ bɛɛ ye o ye. Ni pari jusigi ye $10 ye ani tabali dan ye $500 ye, tugucogo bɛ ban bɔnɛ wɔɔrɔ kɔfɛ. Kolɔn laban ye kɛli seko ye ka se o sennakɛ ma pari kelen-kelen kan, bɔnɛ kelen o kelen kɛli seko ye 19/37 ye yɔrɔ min na.
Pari jusigi $10, tabali dan $500. Bɔnɛ wɔɔrɔ kɔfɛ, pari nata ye $640 ye, o bɛ tɛmɛ dan kan: yɛlɛmali bɛ kari ni $630 tununnen ye. Bɔnɛ wɔɔrɔ tugutugulen kɛli seko bilenman kan ye (19/37)^6 = 1.83% ye, o bɛ kɛ siɲɛ kelen kɔrɔbɔli 55 kɔnɔ ka surun.
Fɛɛrɛ taama
Bɔnɛ bɛ pari wari kɛ siɲɛ fila. Sɔrɔ bɛ segin daminɛ ma.
Pari wariw ni jaabiw bɛ jate pari wari fɔlɔ inite la.
Tulonsigi bɛ cogo di?
Sennakɛ fitininw ka yɛlɛn, o kɔfɛ dingɛ dɔ. Rulɛti Martingale la, siɲɛ fila bonyali tugucogo o tugucogo min dafara, o bɛ pari jusigi kelen fara a kan, o la sira bɛ yɛlɛn dɔɔni dɔɔni. Tugucogo min bɛ se $500 dan ma, o bɛ $630 ta kokura siɲɛ kelen: o sennakɛ 63.
- p10 −$1,000
- p25 −$1,000
- mediyani −$1,000
- p75 +$930
- p90 +$1,830
Ladegelan
Sugandili kelen o kelen bɛ tulonsigi 2,000 boli pari kelen-kelenw na ka bɔ $1,000 tulon wari la. Jaabiw bɛ yɛlɛma o yɔrɔnin bɛɛ.
Tulonsigi caman bɛ ban ni tɔnɔ fitini ye (40.8%), o de bɛ mɔgɔw sama. Cɛmancɛ hakɛ ye kɔfɛ ye (−$66.44) bawo tulonsigi tununnenw ka bon: yɛlɛmali fɛɛrɛ sera tabali dan ma tulonsigiw 59.3% la. Mɔgɔ min bɛ pari wari kelen $10 kɛ munumunuli kelenw kɔnɔ, o bɛ se ka bɔnɛ makɔnɔ $27 ɲɔgɔn.
Bɔnɛ tugutugu bɛ na tuma joli
Zero kelen munumunufɛn kan, pari kelen-kelen bɛ tunun munumunuli 19 la munumunuli 37 kɔnɔ. Sira kelen o kelen bɛ munumunuli tugutugulen dɔw bɛɛ tununni kɛli seko jira, ani Martingale tulonkɛla, min bɛ pari wari siɲɛ fila bɔnɛ o bɔnɛ kɔ, o ye min tunun fo o waati.
| bɔnɛ tugutugulenw | kɛli seko | ka surun 1 … kɔnɔ | tununnen fo sisan | pari nata |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51.4% | 2 | $1 | $2 |
| 2 | 26.4% | 4 | $3 | $4 |
| 3 | 13.5% | 7 | $7 | $8 |
| 4 | 7.0% | 14 | $15 | $16 |
| 5 | 3.6% | 28 | $31 | $32 |
| 6 | 1.8% | 55 | $63 | $64 |
| 7 | 0.94% | 106 | $127 | $128 |
| 8 | 0.48% | 207 | $255 | $256 |
| 9 | 0.25% | 403 | $511 | $512 |
| 10 | 0.13% | 784 | $1,023 | $1,024 |
| 11 | 0.065% | 1527 | $2,047 | $2,048 |
| 12 | 0.034% | 2974 | $4,095 | $4,096 |
| 13 | 0.017% | 5792 | $8,191 | $8,192 |
| 14 | 0.0089% | 11279 | $16,383 | $16,384 |
| 15 | 0.0046% | 21965 | $32,767 | $32,768 |
Kɛli seko ye 19/37 ye, a sigira a yɛrɛ la siɲɛ kelen bɔnɛ kelen o kelen na, ka jate daminɛ munumunuli kelen latigɛlen na. Tulonsigi jan na, munumunuli caman bɛ yen yɔrɔ min na nin tugutugu ɲɔgɔn bɛ se ka daminɛ, o la wula kelen kɔnɔ, a kɛli seko ka bon kosɛbɛ ka tɛmɛ sira kelen ka jira kan.
Bɔnɛ tan ni duuru tugutugulen bɛ kɛ siɲɛ kelen kɔrɔbɔli 22,000 kɔnɔ ka surun. O bɛ i n'a fɔ farati tɛ a la. Nka farati b'a la, sababu fila kosɔn. Munumunuli kelen o kelen bɛ kɔrɔbɔli kura daminɛ, ani wula kelen kɔnɔ munumunuli kɛmɛ caman bɛ kɛ. Ani mɔgɔ si tɛ se tan ni duuru ma: ka bɔ pari jusigi $10 la, dan $500 bɛ siɲɛ fila bonyali jɔ bɔnɛ wɔɔrɔ kɔfɛ, o bɛ kɛ siɲɛ kelen kɔrɔbɔli 55 kɔnɔ ka surun.
Mun na a tɛ se ka kɛli seko yɛlɛma?
Hakɛ makɔnɔnenw bɛ fara ɲɔgɔn kan. Ni pari kelen kelen bɛɛ hakɛ makɔnɔnen ye a pari wari −2.70% ye, o tuma pari tugucogo o tugucogo, pari wari sugandira cogo o cogo, o hakɛ makɔnɔnen ye pari wari bɛɛ −2.70% ye. Pari wari sugandili bɛ se ka jɔ jaabi tɛmɛnenw kan; a tɛ se ka jɔ jaabi nata kan.
bᵢ sugandira sani munumunuli i ka kɛ; Xᵢ = ±1 ye yɛrɛmahɔrɔn ye ka bɔ bᵢ la
Miiriya filimanw minw ka ca
Yɛlɛko
Sɔrɔ fitinin caman, bɔnɛ ba kelen min tɛ kɛ tuma caman. Ani i yɛrɛ de bɛ o juru sara.
